2026 World Cup: Ghanaâ??s route to the Round of 32 - Best and worst case draw scenarios

Friday’s 2026 FIFA World Cup draw in Washington will determine how Ghana begin their campaign in North America, a tournament that introduces an expanded 32-team knockout phase following the group stage.

The Black Stars are in Pot 4, which guarantees a major challenge, but the new format also offers space for opportunity.

A best-case scenario would see Ghana paired with one of the host nations in Pot 1. Canada, Mexico or the United States are strong sides, yet not as daunting as Spain, France or Argentina. Ghana’s pace and physicality in midfield could unsettle any of the three hosts.

From Pot 2, a match-up with Austria, Japan or the Republic of Korea would offer balance without overwhelming elite power. Pot 3 opponents such as Panama, Qatar or Uzbekistan would further raise hopes of securing enough points to reach the knockout stage, either as a top-two finisher or among the best third-placed teams.

The opposite draw could put Ghana under heavy pressure from the first whistle. A group led by Spain or France, combined with a tactically tough European side like Switzerland or Croatia in Pot 2, would give the Black Stars little margin for error. Adding Paraguay or Saudi Arabia from Pot 3, teams with physical strength and experience, would turn every match into a survival test.

Under the new structure, goal difference and even small tactical decisions may decide who advances. A manageable route could allow Ghana to grow into the tournament and compete confidently for a place in the Round of 32. A difficult draw would demand resilience and near-perfect execution. Either way, Friday’s reveal will set the tone for how far this young and ambitious squad can go next summer.

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