Exit polls provide a window into what party is likely to win in the general election. The final result should be clear around 4 a.m. BST.
- Exit polls show that it's going to be a hung parliament. Exit polls are usually pretty accurate in forecasting who will win the general election.
- FORECASTS: Conservative (314 seats, -17), Labour (266 seats, 34), Liberal Democrats (14 seats, 6), SNP (34 seats, -22).
- Conservatives and Labour are both outperforming the exit polls so far.
- There are a number of reports from different areas where people are being turned away for voting due to electoral services issues.
- The number of people registered to vote is higher than the 2015 general election.
- Results are expected to be clear around 4 a.m. BST.
LONDON — Exit polls show that it's going to be a hung parliament.
Exit polls are usually pretty accurate in forecasting who will win the general election. The results from last five elections matched exit polls closely.
So far, Labour and the Tories are beating projections.
There are 46.9 million people registered to vote — a rise from the 2015 general election number of 46.4 million.
Between 3 a.m. and 4 a.m. local time on June 9, we should get a clear indication of who has won the general election.
A total of 650 Westminster MPs will be elected. In order for a party to get a clear majority in government, it would have to claim 326 seats.
0350 — LABOUR AND TORIES ARE NEARLY NECK-AND-NECK ON SEATS
Conservatives: 191
Labour: 198
Liberal Democrats: 10
SNP: 27
0347 — THE BARROW AND FURNESS SEAT IS HAVING A RECOUNT
0344 — LORD BUCKETHEAD AND MR FISHFINGER GOT A FEW HUNDRED VOTES
For those reading from outside the UK — yes, these candidates are real. Across various constituencies, people put up ridiculous characters for election as part of a protest vote:
Here is Mr Fishfinger:
And in the Prime Minister Theresa May's constituency, Lord Buckethead:
0338 — TALLY SO FAR
Conservatives: 176
Labour: 189
Liberal Democrats: 26
SNP: 9
0336 — BBC REPORTING LABOUR TAKES A SEAT THAT HAS BEEN TORY CONTROLLED SINCE WWI
BBC says Labour is taking the Canterbury seat from the Tories
0322 — PRIME MINISTER THERESA MAY RETAINS HER SEAT
- Conservatives, 37,718.
- UKIP 871.
- Lord Buckethead 249.
- Lib Dems 6,540.
- Monster Raving Loony party, 119.
- Animal Welfare party, 282.
She said in a speech that "the country needs a period of stability."
Here is her speech on video:
0317 — THE TALLY SO FAR
LABOUR: 161
CONSERVATIVES: 149
LIB DEMS: 4
SNP: 25
0307 — LABOUR LEADER JEREMY CORBYN WINS HIS SEAT BY A LANDSLIDE
Corbyn undoubtedly smashed the count for the Islington North seat:
- Labour: 40,086
- Conservative: 6,871
- Lib Dems: 4,946
- Green Party: 2,229
Corbyn said in his acceptance speech: "People have had enough of austerity politics. I am very proud of our campaign and our manifesto. People are voting for hope and hope for the future."
He also called on Theresa May to resign.
0303 — LABOUR CANDIDATE FOR BERMONDSEY AND OLD SOUTHWARK SPEAKS TO BI
BI's politics editor tells us:
"I've just spoken to Neil Coyle, Labour's candidate in Bermondsey and Old Southwark where the Lib Dems had hoped to bring back Simon Hughes to his old seat. The result is due in around an hour's time and is set to be pretty clear cut in Labour's favour according to party sources here. Coyle has been very strongly critical of Jeremy Corbyn in the past but he praised his 'cool, calm, collected' approach to the election campaign and said that the manifesto he had presented had been a big hit with Labour voters in his seat.
"He told me he was pleased when he saw the manifesto as it was one that "clearly works for the people of southwark" who he said are fed up with police cuts, NHS cuts and growing wealth inequality.
"I spoke to Coyle just after it was announced that Labour had taken former Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg's seat in Sheffield Hallam. The cheers from Labour activists here almost took the roof off.
"The Lib Dems look to be on course for a mixed night, falling short against Labour in London but making some gains in Scotland. However, Simon Hughes hopes of returning to his long-held Bermondsey seat now look dashed for good."
0259 — FOREIGN SECRETARY BORIS JOHNSON RETAINS HIS SEAT
Johnson was re-elected in Uxbridge and Ruislip South.
0258 — CABLE REGAINS HIS SEAT IN TWICKENHAM
0253 — HUGE GAINS FOR LABOUR
0247 — NICK CLEGG LOSES HIS SEAT
Former Deputy Prime Minister and Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg has just lost his parliamentary seat.
0242 — LATEST TALLY
Labour: 100
Conservatives: 75
Liberal Democrats: 1
SNP: 13
0240 — BBC'S NATIONAL SEAT PREDICTIONS
Remember, a party needs 326 seats to win a majority:
Conservatives: 322 seats, -9
Labour: 261, 29
Liberal Democrats: 13, 5
SNP: 32, -24
0235 — HOME SECRETARY AMBER RUDD CALLS FOR A 3RD RECOUNT
The Conservative party's home secretary is worried about losing her East Sussex seat.
0225 — LABOUR'S NEIL COYLE IS ALL SMILES IN SOUTHWARK
BI's politics editor Adam Bienkov updates the latest news from Southwark:
"A beaming Neil Coyle is walking around Southwark town hall embracing activists and shaking hands. Labour activists are cheering as the party wins big majorities all over the capital. Both Liberal Democrats and Conservative activists are very downbeat here. Labour look to be clearing up across London."
0024 — CORBYN WON'T BE DRAWN INTO IF HE THINKS HE'LL BE NEXT PRIME MINISTER
0220 — ANGUS ROBERTSON IS OUT
Robertson, deputy leader of the Scottish National Party, just lost his seat to the Conservatives in Moray.
0214 — LABOUR'S WOODCOCK: RESULTS SO FAR ARE "A GREAT CAUSE FOR HOPE"
Labour candidate for Barrow & Furness, John Woodcock, tells BI's politics reporter Adam Payne:
"This is an extraordinary night. I don't think anyone can yet say what they think is going to happen but it just shows that British politics is wide open. And I think that's a great cause for hope for the future at a time when many progressive people have been disheartened and even despairing."
0210 — BIG SWINGS TO LABOUR
Labour on 55 seats to Conservatives' 34:
0201 — CORBYN IS NOW FAVE TO BE NEXT PRIME MINISTER
Smarkets betting exchange says a "remarkable election night means Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn is now favourite on the to be the next Prime Minister. Graph below shows Theresa May's tumble from a near-90% favourite to 38% in the last few hours:"
"PM after election: Corbyn 41%, May 37%, Other 22%:"
0157 — TORIES TAKE AN SNP SEAT IN ANGUS, SCOTLAND
Conservatives take a seat from the SNP, which it has held since before the 2015 general election.
0152 — MORE RESULTS ROLL IN ...
Labour on 32 and Conservatives on 22. SNP on 4.
0149 — LABOUR IS IN A "JUBILANT MOOD" IN BERMONDSEY
BI's politics editor Adam Bienkov reports from the Bermondsey and Old Southwark seat:
"Labour activists in jubilant mood here. They think they've won easily and extended their majority. Simon Hughes unlikely to be returned to his old seat."
0144 — TORIES WORRIED ABOUT LONDON'S MOST MARGINAL SEAT — CROYDON CENTRAL
Sources tell BI that the Tories are worried about London's most marginal seat — Croydon Central — where Conservatives' Gavin Barwell only won by 165 votes in 2015.
Labour candidate Sarah Jones was a former Head of Campaigns at Shelter, and campaigned for more affordable housing and support for homeless families, as well as the NHS.
0142 — TOM WATSON: "PEOPLE VOTE FOR HOPE"
Key excerpts from Watson's speech:
"We did better than they said we would...people responded well to Jeremy Corbyn's honesty, candor and energy, just as they saw Theresa May run away from holding herself to account'
'Theresa May's authority has been undermined. She is a damaged PM who may never recover.
"May said she was a bloody difficult woman. She’s turning out to be a woman finding it all too bloody difficult."
0140 — "CORBYN HAS BEEN UNDERESTIMATED BY EVERYONE, RIGHT FROM THE BEGINNING"
BI UK's editor-in-chief Jim Edwards writes:
Corbyn’s machine went direct to its core constituency: Young people and former Labour voters who were alienated by Tony Blair.
"Jeremy Corbyn has been underestimated by everyone, right from the beginning. Underestimated by moderates in the Labour party who — twice — refused to believe he could lead and win. Underestimated by the opinion pollsters who routinely put him 20 points or more behind Theresa May’s Conservatives. And underestimated by the traditional media who simply assumed he was this century’s Michael Foot (the Labour leader in the 1980s who led the party to one of its worst results).
"Behind all that, Corbyn’s machine went direct to its core constituency: Young people and former Labour voters who were alienated by Tony Blair. He went direct to them on Facebook and Twitter, gathering audiences that vastly exceed those who watch the BBC or read the Daily Mail. The turnout in this election has been a huge factor in Corbyn’s favour: It looks as if the young have come out to vote in unexpected numbers.
"And it has all paid off. Corbyn has rallied his supporters and confounded his critics. He won’t be dismissed quite so easily from now on."
0135 — CONSERVATIVES TAKE ANOTHER SEAT
Tories add another seat to reach 11, while Labour leads with 23.
0131 — DEPUTY LABOUR LEADER TOM WATSON HOLDS HIS SEAT
He holds West Bromich East.
Other results that have come in:
0130 — LABOUR ON 21 SEATS TO CONSERVATIVES' 9
0124 — MAYOR OF LONDON'S FORMER SEAT — TOOTING — RESULTS ARE IN
LABOUR: 34,694
CONSERVATIVES: 19,236
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS: 3,057
0121 — RUDD: "I AM HOPEFUL BUT NOT COMPLACENT"
Britain's home secretary is defending her seat in East Sussex and told the BBC that she's "hopeful but not complacent."
0116 — CORBYN: "WE HAVE ALREADY CHANGED THE FACE OF BRITISH POLITICS"
Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn issued a statement:
"I’d like to thank all our members and supporters who have worked so hard on this campaign, from door knocking to social media, and to everyone who voted for a manifesto which offers real change for our country. Whatever the final result, we have already changed the face of British politics."
0114 — TORIES TAKE ITS 7TH SEAT
0109 — MORE RESULTS FLOOD IN
For Wrexham, which the Tories hoped to gain:
- Labour: 17,153
- Conservative: 15,321
- Plaid Cymru: 1,753
- Lib Dem: 865
Others:
0103 — THE LATEST FROM SWING SEAT BARROW & FURNESS
BI's politics reporter Adam Payne writes:
"Labour activists in Barrow town hall have a spring in their step. 'I'm more confident now than I was at lunchtime,' one tells me, with a smile on his face. Meanwhile, up the Cumbrian coast, Labour has held onto Workington, and the party is confident of taking back the Copeland seat that it lost just five months ago in a by-election. On Copeland: turnout there is roughly 20% higher than at the February by-election. That is stunning."
0056 — LATEST SEAT COUNT
Conservative: 5
Labour: 10
Reminder on exit polls:
- Conservative (314 seats, -17)
- Labour (266 seats, 34)
- Liberal Democrats (14 seats, 6)
- SNP (34 seats, -22).
0048 — LABOUR WINS A KEY SEAT IN DARLINGTON
If Tories hoped for a substantial majority, winning Darlington would be a bellwether seat to see if they were able to do this. The Conservatives lost:
0045 — LABOUR WINS IT'S 8TH SEAT, IN WORKINGTON
0037 — THE SEAT TALLY SO FAR
Labour: 7
Conservative: 5
Latest from Basildon & Billericay, Nuneaton, Middlesborough, and Broxbourne:
0035 — FORMER LIB DEM LEADER PADDY ASHDOWN: "I SUSPECT MAY IS TOAST"
Paddy Ashdown, who served as Leader of the Liberal Democrats from 1988 until August 1999, tells ITV: "I shouldn't be surprised if the Tories just clipped it and got a majority by a small margin. I suspect Ms May is toast."
0030 — POUND IS STILL PLUNGING ON HUNG PARLIAMENT FORECAST
0026 — KETTERING AND NEWCASTLE UPON TYNE NORTH RESULTS IN
0020 — LABOUR SEEMS CONFIDENT IN HOLDING TAKING A NUMBER OF SEATS TORIES AND SNP
0015 — LABOUR'S EMILY THORNBERRY SAYS MAY "HAS FAILED"
Emily Thornberry told the BBC about what she thinks about Prime Minister Theresa May:
"She basically wanted to stamp out the opposition … and the country has said 'no' and the country has looked to the Labour party and we have put forward a positive alternative … so she has failed.
"It looks tonight like we could form the next government.
"It would then be up to them [smaller parties] to explain to their constituents … why they let the tories back in.
"There are no coalitons, there are no deals, either the conservatives will be the minority government … or Labour will be the minority government."
0007 — CORBYN HAS ARMED GUARDS OUTSIDE HIS HOME
Jason Farrell from Sky News reports that the "armed guards were always due to be here overnight."
0001: TORIES AND LABOUR OUTPERFORM EXIT POLLS
The Swindon North results showed an 11% increase in Labour vote in Swindon. This is an outperformance of the exit poll:
2358 — SWINDON NORTH — CONSERVATIVES WIN THEIR FIRST SEAT OF THE NIGHT
2357 — NEWCASTLE EAST RESULTS IN
LABOUR: 28,127
CONSERVATIVE: 8,866
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS: 2,574
2355 — LABOUR SOURCES TELL BI IN BARROW THAT THEY'RE SCEPTICAL THAT EXIT POLLS SHOW LABOUR WILL HOLD ITS SEAT
BI's politics reporter Adam Payne in Barrow Town Hall where the Labour held seat was initially predicted to swing to the Tories. He told us from down-on-the-ground:
"I'm in Barrow and Furness where Labour's John Woodcock is defending his 1.8% lead. The 10 p.m. exit poll predicts Labour will hold the seat - but Labour activists here are sceptical. 'If it's right then it contradicts all of our data,' one Labour activist told me. If Labour holds in Barrow - where the Trident is produced - it'll be a remarkable result for Labour."
2350 — THE FIRST 3 RESULTS SHOW SWING IS TO TORIES — DESPITE NOT WINNING "SAFE" LABOUR SEATS
Exit polls were predicting more of a swing to Labour.
2347 — SUNDERLAND CENTRAL COUNT IS IN
Conservatives: 15,059
Labour: 25,056
Liberal Democrats: 1,777
2332 — SOURCE CLOSE TO CORBYN TELLS BI "MAY'S CREDIBILITY" IS COMPLETELY SHOT
Senior Labour source, close to Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, tells BI's politics editor Adam Bienkov:
"If this exit poll is correct, Theresa May’s credibility is completely shot. As May said herself, if she lost just six seats in this election she would not be Prime Minister."
"If exit poll is correct, Labour has had biggest increase in popular support during campaign by any party in British political history by a massive margin," the source added.
2327 — TORY SOURCE TELLS BI YOUTH VOTE HAD A "MASSIVE" TURNOUT IN BARROW & FURNESS
BI's politics reporter Adam Payne is in Barrow Town Hall for the Barrow & Furness:
2324 — 5 SURPRISING THINGS WE HAVE LEARNED FROM THE EXIT POLLS
BI's politics editor Adam Bienkov put together a guide on how we should be very cautious on exit polls. He writes:
"The poll is strongly at odds with what most polls, pundits and the parties themselves told us was going to happen. However, exit polls have a pretty good record in the UK."
2320 — THIS PICTURE OF FORMER CHANCELLOR GEORGE OSBORNE ON ITV
The old English idiom — "a picture is worth a thousand words" — can be applied here. George Osborne was the chancellor under David Cameron's leadership but was sacked by current Prime Minister Theresa May when she took over the Tory party in July last year:
2312 — THIS HOUGHTON AND SUNDERLAND SOUTH RESULT SHOWS EXIT POLLS WERE NOT ENTIRELY CORRECT
There was a big swing to Conservatives although Labour won the majority in this seat.
2306 — HOUGHTON & SUNDERLAND SOUTH
Labour: Over 24,000
Conservative: 12,324
Labour holds but its results is worse than before while Tories have added votes. Media is awaiting exact results and vote share but a failure on a microphone from Houghton and Sunderland South means exact numbers are not available yet.
2300 — NEWCASTLE CENTRAL RESULTS ARE IN
Labour: 24,071
Conservative: 9,134
Lib Dem: 1,812
2259 — AN ALTERNATIVE EXIT POLL POTENTIALLY SHOWS HOW YOUNG PEOPLE SHAPED THIS ELECTION
Britain's general election might produce a result few saw coming — a hung parliament — and young people voting in force may be behind it.
An alternative exit poll published by NME suggests that a massive 60% of young people in Britain voted for Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party. Turnout among young people, meanwhile, is up 12% to 56% on the last general election in 2015.
The NME exit poll was conducted by The Stream and surveyed 1,354 18-34-year-olds.
2255 — THIS IS WHAT A HUNG PARLIAMENT WILL MEAN FOR BRITAIN
Britain is heading for a hung parliament as a result of Theresa May's Conservatives losing a significant number of seats, according to a stunning exit poll for the BBC, ITV and Sky.
The exit poll predicts the Tories will be 12 seats short of a parliamentary majority.
BI's politics reporter Adam Payne put together an explainer about what a hung parliament would mean for Britain. Check it out here.
2250 — LABOUR'S JOHN MCDONNELL SAYS MAY SHOULD CONSIDER RESIGNING IF THERE'S A HUNG PARLIAMENT
John McDonnell, the shadow chancellor, told the BBC that if the exit poll is right, the current Prime Minister Theresa May should consider resigning:
"If it is right, then I think her position is becoming increasingly untenable. I tell you why – if you listen to what people are saying, Theresa May promised on seven different occasions that she wouldn’t go for a snap general election.
"And she went for it on the basis that she wanted to secure a mandate that she already had. People just saw through that. They saw this as an election which was for party advantage rather than the interests of the country. And it looks as though they’ve rejected her as a result."
2235 — BETTING MARKETS SLASH TORY MAJORITY ODDS
Betting exchange Smarkets said that following the exit polls the latest prices, with % prices shown giving an implied probability are:
- Conservative majority tumbles from 85% to 55% after exit poll suggests hung parliament.
- Overall Majority: CON 55%, None 43%, LAB 2%
- Most Seats: CON 95%, LAB 5%
2222 — HERE ARE ALL THE KEY SEAT RESULTS TO STAY UP FOR
BI's politics editor Adam Bienkov has put together a guide of all the seats to watch out for when results roll in.
For example, Sunderland Central is one of them:
- Expected declaration time: 11.30 pm
- Winner in 2015: Julie Elliott (Labour)
- Labour majority over Conservative: 11,179
- Swing required to win: 13.38%
- Conservative target seat number: 136
One of the first seats to declare will be Sunderland Central in North East England. The seat has been held by Labour since its current boundaries were formed in 2010 and should be the easiest of holds for Jeremy Corbyn's party. However, if Theresa May is on course for the sort of new Labour-style landslide that some polls at the start of the general election predicted then Sunderland Central will be our first indication. Even a close result here would spell major trouble for Labour nationally.
2215 — BRITAIN'S DEFENCE SECRETARY SAYS 'EXIT POLLS HAVE BEEN WRONG IN THE PAST'
Defence Secretary Michael Fallon tells the BBC: "Let’s see some actual results. These exit polls have been wrong in the past. In 2015 they underestimated our vote, a couple of elections before that they overestimated our vote."
Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell on the Tory campaign added: "It was pretty nasty, it was very nasty. It dragged us into the gutter at times. Let’s put that to one side. If the result is anywhere near like this, it means that positive politics has actually succeeded."
2207 — HERE ARE THE FULL EXIT POLL NUMBERS
2203 — POUND PLUNGES
BI's markets reporter Will Martin writes:
"The British pound is dropping sharply in overnight trade on Thursday after the exit poll suggested that no party will win a majority in the House of Commons after 2017's general election.
"The exit poll, which in recent elections has proved to be a fairly accurate forecast of the official result, showed Theresa May's Conservative Party as the biggest individual party, heading for 314 seats in the House of Commons, 12 short of a majority."
2200 — EXIT POLLS ARE IN
And it looks like it's going to be a hung parliament.
2155 — RESULTS COULD BE IN EARLIER THAN EXPECTED
Usually, during a general election, which is meant to be once every five years, there are local elections too.
However since this is a snap general election, there are no local elections taking place and therefore results might come in earlier than usual.
If there is a big landslide victory, Britain can expect results from around 3 a.m. to 4 a.m. BST on June 9. However, if the race is a lot tighter, it could be a few hours after that until we know who won.
In the 2015 general election:
- Houghton and Sunderland South was the first seat to declare at 10.48 p.m. BST.
- A Conservative majority was not confirmed until 1.34 p.m. ET the following day.
2145 — RECAP OF TODAY'S EVENTS
The voting period is from 7 a.m. BST to 10 p.m. BST. During this period, we've had:
- People were turned away from polling stations despite having polling cards with them.
- The Guardian spoke to Labour candidate Paul Farrelly in Newcastle-under-Lyme, where there have been issues stopping some students voting today. However, the electoral roll has reportedly been updated since that report:
- Latest betting odds from betting exchange Smarkets: Today's price for a Conservative majority, with 88% the highest it reached this morning.
- A fight broke out between photographers trying to get a picture of Liberal Democrat leader Tim Farron at a polling station.
2130 — HERE COME THE EXIT POLLS
The exit polls will be a result of a survey of 144 polling stations across Britain, jointly commissioned by the BBC, ITV, and Sky and will became immediately available at 10 p.m. BST.
A number of other outlets are publishing their own exit polls, including popular music magazine NME.
NME says it exit poll will be a representative sample of 1,000 people, aged 18-34-year-olds between 7 a.m. to 9 p.m. BST.
NME ran a campaign in the lead up to voting day called "My Plus One" to encourage young people to vote. It said "if every person under 25 took a friend with them to the polling station today, 2,527,743 more votes would be cast."
This is a live blog. Please refresh for latest updates
Exit polls provide a window into what party is likely to win in the general election. The final result should be clear around 4 a.m. BST. Read Full Story
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